Drawdown Analyzer
Analyse expected and worst-case drawdowns, maximum consecutive losses, recovery time, and psychological risk with losing streak probability tables.
| Streak | in 100 bets | in 500 bets |
|---|---|---|
| 3 in a row | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 5 in a row | 91.3% | 100.0% |
| 8 in a row | 23.1% | 75.1% |
| 10 in a row | 5.7% | 27.3% |
Why Drawdowns Destroy Bettors
Drawdowns - the inevitable losing streaks - are what psychologically destroy bettors and cause them to abandon profitable strategies prematurely. This tool shows you what to expect so you can prepare mentally.
The Losing Streak Table
The probability table is eye-opening. At a 40% strike rate, a 10-bet losing streak is statistically expected roughly every 200 bets. It is not a sign that your strategy is broken - it is simply mathematics. Understanding this reframes the experience from panic to expectation.
Psychological Risk Score
The score combines drawdown severity, recovery time, and staking aggression to estimate how likely you are to 'tilt' - making emotional decisions that deviate from your plan. High scores indicate you should consider reducing stake size or taking breaks during losing runs.
Recovery Time
Knowing how many bets (and weeks) it takes to recover from a worst-case drawdown helps set realistic expectations. If recovery takes 200 bets at 20 bets per week, that is 10 weeks - can you stay disciplined for that long?