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Liga MX Mexico Prediction Models

2026/2027

Flat Betting Model

108

Matches w/ Odds

$10

Stake Per Bet

+71.27%

Best: Away Underdog

-21.43%

Worst: Home Favorite

Odds Range Filter

1.0

10.0

Use minimum and maximum odds selection tool to identify the most profitable ranges for the Flat Betting football prediction model for Liga MX Mexico. After each change on the odds range, the system filters qualifying bets and recalculates profits and losses based on those selections.

Market ROI Summary

Flat $10 stake on every match from start to end of season. Profit/loss and ROI per market.

Market	Bets	Wins	Win %	Staked	Return	P&L	ROI	Best Str.	Worst Str.
Home Bet	108	40	37.04%	$1080	$910.8	−$169.20	-15.67%	4	9
Draw Bet	108	31	28.7%	$1080	$1193.2	+$113.20	+10.48%	3	12
Away Bet	108	37	34.26%	$1080	$1377.2	+$297.20	+27.52%	4	7
Over 2.5	106	54	50.94%	$1060	$941.6	−$118.40	-11.17%	4	5
Under 2.5	106	52	49.06%	$1060	$1210.4	+$150.40	+14.19%	5	4
BTTS Yes	108	67	62.04%	$1080	$1112.3	+$32.30	+2.99%	7	3
Home Favorite	67	29	43.28%	$670	$526.4	−$143.60	-21.43%	4	6
Away Underdog	41	12	29.27%	$410	$702.2	+$292.20	+71.27%	3	10
Favorite	108	45	41.67%	$1080	$852.5	−$227.50	-21.06%	6	9
Underdog	108	32	29.63%	$1080	$1435.5	+$355.50	+32.92%	3	10

Staking Plan Comparison

Same bets, different stake sizing. Flat = $10 every bet. Kelly ¼ = stake based on rolling edge estimate (quarter-Kelly for safety). Confidence = stake proportional to implied probability (more on favorites, less on longshots).

Market	Bets	Flat P&L	Flat ROI	Kelly ¼ P&L	Kelly ¼ ROI	Conf P&L	Conf ROI
Home Bet	108	−$169.20	-15.67%	−$38.04	-23.95%	−$193.32	-17.17%
Draw Bet	108	+$113.20	+10.48%	−$4.65	-9.23%	+$133.42	+12.08%
Away Bet	108	+$297.20	+27.52%	+$195.79	+40.38%	+$58.39	+5.53%
Over 2.5	106	−$118.40	-11.17%	−$6.51	-19.33%	−$121.24	-11.25%
Under 2.5	106	+$150.40	+14.19%	−$12.36	-5.39%	+$152.35	+13.85%
BTTS Yes	108	+$32.30	+2.99%	−$33.47	-35.67%	+$33.60	+3.08%
Home Favorite	67	−$143.60	-21.43%	−$3.94	-17.03%	−$143.02	-21.75%
Away Underdog	41	+$292.20	+71.27%	+$73.52	+34.86%	+$254.52	+57.8%
Favorite	108	−$227.50	-21.06%	−$6.95	-45.07%	−$221.15	-20.59%
Underdog	108	+$355.50	+32.92%	+$337.69	+26.62%	+$191.26	+16.96%

Staking Methods

Flat Stake:: Fixed $10 on every qualifying bet regardless of odds or edge.
Kelly ¼:: Stake = bankroll × (edge / (odds−1)) / 4. Uses rolling win rate as probability estimate. Grows bankroll when winning, shrinks when losing.
Confidence-weighted:: Stake = (implied prob / rolling avg implied prob) × $10. Bets more on favorites, less on longshots. Uses your previous bets' average to calculate each stake — applicable in real time.

Flat $10 on this team's Win result in every match. Sorted by ROI.

Team	Bets	Wins	Win %	P&L	ROI
Querétaro	12	6	50%	+$161.30	+134.42%
Santos Laguna	12	6	50%	+$112.00	+93.33%
Atlas	12	5	41.67%	+$71.70	+59.75%
Atlético San Luis	12	5	41.67%	+$66.60	+55.5%
León	12	6	50%	+$56.00	+46.67%
Atlante	12	3	25%	+$40.00	+33.33%
Club América	11	7	63.64%	+$14.70	+13.36%
Puebla	12	3	25%	+$7.40	+6.17%
Cruz Azul	12	6	50%	+$1.40	+1.17%
Guadalajara	12	6	50%	−$11.60	-9.67%
Monterrey	12	5	41.67%	−$15.30	-12.75%
Pachuca	13	3	23.08%	−$30.80	-23.69%
Tijuana	11	3	27.27%	−$33.60	-30.55%
Toluca	12	5	41.67%	−$40.50	-33.75%
Pumas UNAM	12	3	25%	−$43.30	-36.08%
Tigres UANL	12	3	25%	−$58.50	-48.75%
Juárez	12	1	8.33%	−$72.50	-60.42%
Necaxa	13	1	7.69%	−$97.00	-74.62%

PPG Model

Teams

1.37

League Avg PPG

1.08

Home Factor

λ=0.85

WPPG Decay

Odds Range Filter

1.0

10.0

Use minimum and maximum odds selection tool to identify the most profitable ranges for the PPG football prediction model for Liga MX Mexico. After each change on the odds range, the system filters qualifying bets and recalculates profits and losses based on those selections.

PPG / WPPG Betting ROI

Backtested ROI betting $10 using incremental PPG — seeded with previous season data, blending into current-season results.

Strategy	Bets	Wins	Win %	P&L	ROI
PPG Favorite (1×2)	90	40	44.44%	+$73.70	+8.19%
PPG Home Pick	46	20	43.48%	−$79.80	-17.35%
PPG Away Pick	44	20	45.45%	+$153.50	+34.89%
WPPG Favorite (1×2)	91	42	46.15%	+$114.90	+12.63%
PPG Value (fair < market)	96	32	33.33%	−$55.20	-5.75%

Strategy Guide

PPG Favorite:: Backs the team with the higher PPG to win, whether home or away.
PPG Home Pick:: Bets on the home team only when PPG rates them higher than the visitor.
PPG Away Pick:: Bets on the away team only when PPG rates them higher than the home side.
WPPG Favorite:: Same as PPG Favorite but uses Weighted PPG (recent form weighted more heavily).
PPG Value:: Only bets when the PPG fair odds are lower than the bookmaker's odds — positive expected value. E.g. fair odds 1.80 vs bookmaker 2.10 = value bet.

Staking Plan Comparison

Same PPG bets, different stake sizing. Flat = $10 every bet. Kelly ¼ = stake based on rolling edge estimate. Confidence = stake proportional to implied probability.

Strategy	Bets	Flat P&L	Flat ROI	Kelly ¼ P&L	Kelly ¼ ROI	Conf P&L	Conf ROI
PPG Favorite (1×2)	90	+$73.70	+8.19%	+$103.16	+9.6%	−$45.31	-4.88%
PPG Home Pick	46	−$79.80	-17.35%	−$44.95	-49.88%	−$92.52	-19.03%
PPG Away Pick	44	+$153.50	+34.89%	+$44.34	+17.01%	+$66.13	+14.79%
WPPG Favorite (1×2)	91	+$114.90	+12.63%	+$126.57	+9.96%	−$1.59	-0.17%
PPG Value (fair < market)	96	−$55.20	-5.75%	+$115.33	+11.3%	−$141.92	-14.59%

Staking Methods

Flat Stake:: Fixed $10 on every qualifying bet regardless of odds or edge.
Kelly ¼:: Stake = bankroll × (edge / (odds−1)) / 4. Uses rolling win rate as probability estimate.
Confidence-weighted:: Stake = (implied prob / rolling avg implied prob) × $10. Bets more on favorites, less on longshots. Uses previous bets' average — applicable in real time.

Recent Results — PPG Predictions vs Actual

How PPG predictions compared to actual match results

Date	Match	PPG Pick	Prob	Fair Odds	Result	✓
26 Oct	Tijuana vs Santos Laguna	Santos Laguna	47.09%	2.12	4 – 1	✗
26 Oct	Club América vs Pachuca	Club América	72.36%	1.38	1 – 2	✗
26 Oct	Querétaro vs Cruz Azul	Querétaro	47.49%	2.11	1 – 3	✗
25 Oct	Atlas vs Puebla	Atlas	46.92%	2.13	4 – 3	✓
25 Oct	Pumas UNAM vs Tigres UANL	Pumas UNAM	42.59%	2.35	1 – 1	✗

Upcoming Fixtures — PPG Predictions

Win probabilities for upcoming matches based on current PPG ratings

Date	Match	PPG Pick	Prob	Fair Odds
29 Oct	Club América vs Tijuana	Club América	57.77%	1.73
31 Oct	Atlético San Luis vs Atlas	***	0%	0
31 Oct	Juárez vs Querétaro	🔒 Login or register for free to see predictions data.
31 Oct	Puebla vs Pumas UNAM
31 Oct	Pachuca vs Tigres UANL

PPG Ratings — All Teams

Points Per Game overall, home, away, and weighted (WPPG with λ=0.85 decay). Click column headers to sort.

Team	PPG ↓	H-PPG	A-PPG	WPPG	vs Avg
1Club América	2.09	1.83	2.4	1.87	+0.72
2Guadalajara	1.92	2	1.86	1.95	+0.55
3León	1.83	2.17	1.5	1.64	+0.46
4Querétaro	1.67	1.4	1.86	1.27	+0.30
5Cruz Azul	1.67	1.67	1.67	2.06	+0.30
6Toluca	1.67	1.83	1.5	1.29	+0.30
7Santos Laguna	1.58	2.17	1	1.9	+0.21
8Atlético San Luis	1.5	1.33	1.67	1.82	+0.13
9Atlas	1.5	1.13	2.25	1.64	+0.13
10Monterrey	1.42	1.67	1.17	1.46	+0.05
11Tijuana	1.27	1.67	0.8	1.35	-0.10
12Pumas UNAM	1.17	1.17	1.17	1.07	-0.20
13Tigres UANL	1.17	2	0.57	1.19	-0.20
14Puebla	1.08	1	1.17	0.73	-0.29
15Atlante	1.08	0.83	1.33	1.02	-0.29
16Pachuca	1	0.5	1.43	1.14	-0.37
17Necaxa	0.54	0.57	0.5	0.44	-0.83
18Juárez	0.42	0.67	0.17	0.52	-0.95

PPG vs WPPG — Biggest Divergence

Teams where PPG and Weighted PPG disagree most — indicates recent form shift

Querétaro

PPG: 1.67WPPG: 1.27Gap: ↓ 0.40

Recent form declining — WPPG dropping below season PPG

Cruz Azul

PPG: 1.67WPPG: 2.06Gap: ↑ 0.39

Recent form better than season average — WPPG rising

Toluca

PPG: 1.67WPPG: 1.29Gap: ↓ 0.38

Recent form declining — WPPG dropping below season PPG

Puebla

PPG: 1.08WPPG: 0.73Gap: ↓ 0.35

Recent form declining — WPPG dropping below season PPG

Atlético San Luis

PPG: 1.5WPPG: 1.82Gap: ↑ 0.32

Recent form better than season average — WPPG rising

Worked Example — Tijuana vs Santos Laguna

P(Tijuana) = 1.1 / (1.1+1.73) × 1.08

= 0.389 × 1.08 = 35.87% → Fair odds 2.79

P(Draw) = 0.268 × (1 − |diff|)

= 17.04% → Fair odds 5.87

P(Santos Laguna) = 1 − 35.87% − 17.04%

= 47.09% → Fair odds 2.12

Poisson / Correct Score

Select Match

2.48

Home xG (λ)

0.81

Away xG (λ)

3.29

Total E[goals]

1.61

League Avg Home

1.44

League Avg Away

Dixon-Coles Score Matrix — Club América vs Tijuana

28 Oct · Each cell shows the probability of that exact scoreline. Dixon-Coles corrected (ρ = -0.13). · Upcoming

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
0	4.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
1	8.4%	8.6%	3.1%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
2	11.6%	9.4%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
3	9.6%	7.8%	3.1%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
4	6.0%	4.8%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
5	3.0%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
6	1.2%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Most likely High Medium Low

Derived Markets

Home Win

72.56%

Fair odds: 1.38

Market: 1.44 (69.4%)

Draw

18.11%

Fair odds: 5.52

Market: 4.33 (23.1%)

Away Win

9.33%

Fair odds: 10.72

Market: 7.50 (13.3%)

Over 0.595.24%/ Under 4.76%Fair: 1.05

Over 1.584.78%/ Under 15.22%Fair: 1.18

Over 2.563.36%/ Under 36.64%Fair: 1.58

Over 3.540.94%/ Under 59.06%Fair: 2.44

Over 4.522.5%/ Under 77.5%Fair: 4.44

BTTS Yes51.79%Fair: 1.93

BTTS No48.21%Fair: 2.07

Correct Score — Top 12

12-0

11.61%H

23-0

9.6%H

32-1

9.41%H

41-1

8.57%D

51-0

8.38%H

63-1

7.78%H

74-0

5.95%H

84-1

4.82%H

90-0

4.76%D

102-2

3.81%D

113-2

3.15%H

121-2

3.07%A

Dixon-Coles vs Plain Poisson

Where the low-score correction adds value

Plain Poisson

P(0-0) = 3.7%

P(1-0) = 9.2%

P(0-1) = 3.0%

P(1-1) = 7.5%

✗ Underestimates 0-0, 1-0, 0-1

Dixon-Coles (ρ correction)

P(0-0) = 4.8% (+1.0%)

P(1-0) = 8.4% (-0.9%)

P(0-1) = 2.1% (-1.0%)

P(1-1) = 8.6% (+1.1%)

✓ Fixes low-score underestimation

💡 Why does this matter? Draws in football are dominated by 0-0 and 1-1. Plain Poisson underprices these by 15–20%. Dixon-Coles corrects this, generating better ROI on draw markets.

Dixon-Coles Betting ROI

Backtested ROI using incremental Poisson/Dixon-Coles model — xG computed only from matches played before each bet.

Strategy	Bets	Wins	Win %	P&L	ROI
DC Value (1X2 edge > 3%)	61	14	22.95%	−$245.10	-40.18%
DC Home Pick (>50%)	19	6	31.58%	−$85.30	-44.89%
DC Away Pick (>50%)	16	6	37.5%	−$11.70	-7.31%
DC Draw (>28%)	31	6	19.35%	−$94.80	-30.58%
DC Over 2.5 Value	22	10	45.45%	−$50.50	-22.95%
DC BTTS Value	20	12	60%	−$3.40	-1.7%

Staking Plan Comparison

Same Dixon-Coles bets, different stake sizing. Flat = $10 every bet. Kelly ¼ and Confidence-weighted alternatives.

Strategy	Bets	Flat P&L	Flat ROI	Kelly ¼ P&L	Kelly ¼ ROI	Conf P&L	Conf ROI
DC Value (1X2 edge > 3%)	61	−$245.10	-40.18%	−$2.27	-100%	−$217.87	-33.97%
DC Home Pick (>50%)	19	−$85.30	-44.89%	−$0.31	-100%	−$86.08	-42.9%
DC Away Pick (>50%)	16	−$11.70	-7.31%	−$3.35	-100%	−$9.69	-5.48%
DC Draw (>28%)	31	−$94.80	-30.58%	$0.00	0%	−$83.20	-27.08%
DC Over 2.5 Value	22	−$50.50	-22.95%	$0.00	0%	−$54.57	-24.09%
DC BTTS Value	20	−$3.40	-1.7%	−$0.89	-100%	−$4.60	-2.29%

Staking Methods

Flat Stake:: Fixed $10 on every qualifying bet regardless of odds or edge.
Kelly ¼:: Stake = bankroll × (edge / (odds−1)) / 4. Uses rolling win rate as probability estimate. Grows bankroll when winning, shrinks when losing.
Confidence-weighted:: Stake = (implied prob / rolling avg implied prob) × $10. Bets more on favorites, less on longshots. Uses your previous bets' average to calculate each stake — applicable in real time.

Team Attack & Defense Strength

Attack/defense strength relative to league average (1.00 = average). Used to derive expected goals (xG) for each match.

Team	Att (H)	Def (H)	Att (A)	Def (A)	H GP	A GP
Club América	1.24	0.58	2.64	1.49	6	5
Cruz Azul	1.55	1.27	1.39	0.93	6	6
Toluca	1.76	1.04	1.04	0.83	6	6
Atlas	0.93	1.48	1.56	1.09	8	4
Monterrey	1.04	0.69	1.16	1.04	6	6
Guadalajara	1.24	0.69	0.99	0.44	5	7
León	1.14	0.81	0.93	0.72	6	6
Tijuana	1.04	0.69	0.97	1.24	6	5
Pumas UNAM	1.04	1.04	0.93	1.04	6	6
Santos Laguna	1.04	0.23	0.93	1.45	6	6
Pachuca	1.04	1.5	0.89	0.53	6	7
Querétaro	0.99	1.11	0.89	0.8	5	7
Atlético San Luis	0.72	0.93	0.93	0.93	6	6
Puebla	0.72	1.16	0.81	0.93	6	6
Necaxa	0.62	1.39	0.81	1.24	7	6
Tigres UANL	0.87	0.69	0.5	0.8	5	7
Atlante	0.62	1.04	0.69	0.83	6	6
Juárez	0.52	1.27	0.46	2.07	6	6

How Poisson Predictions Work

Step 1 — Expected Goals:: Home xG = Home Attack Strength × Away Defense Weakness × League Avg Home Goals. Each team's attack and defense ratings are calculated relative to the league average.
Step 2 — Poisson Formula:: P(k goals) = e⁻λ × λᵏ / k! — models the probability of scoring exactly k goals given the expected goals (λ).
Step 3 — Score Matrix:: Multiply home and away goal probabilities for every combination (0-0 through 6-6) to build a full probability grid for every possible scoreline.
Step 4 — Dixon-Coles:: Apply ρ correction to fix Poisson's underestimation of low-scoring draws (0-0, 1-1, 1-0, 0-1). This is the key improvement over basic Poisson.
Step 5 — Derive Markets:: Sum probabilities from the matrix to derive 1X2, Over/Under, BTTS, and correct score probabilities — then convert to fair odds for value identification.

Elo Rating

Current Elo Ratings

All teams ranked by Elo. Start rating: 1500. K-factor: 32. Home advantage: +65 Elo.

1Guadalajara

1566

2Club América

1556

3León

1547

4Cruz Azul

1537

5Toluca

1529

6Santos Laguna

1525

7Querétaro

1525

8Atlético San Luis

1524

9Atlas

1508

10Monterrey

1502

11Tijuana

1499

12Tigres UANL

1493

13Pumas UNAM

1486

14Atlante

1469

15Pachuca

1468

16Puebla

1465

17Necaxa

1403

18Juárez

1398

Elo → Win Probability Table

How Elo difference translates to win probability.

Elo Diff	P(Higher wins)	Fair Odds	Typical Matchup
0	50.0%	2.00	Evenly matched
50	57.1%	1.75	Mid vs mid-lower
100	64.0%	1.56	Top-8 vs bottom-8
150	70.3%	1.42	Top-4 vs relegation
200	76.0%	1.32	Leader vs bottom half
250	80.8%	1.24	Leader vs bottom 3
300	84.9%	1.18	Guadalajara vs Juárez

Elo Rating History — Top 6

How the top 6 teams' Elo ratings evolved across the season.

GuadalajaraClub AméricaLeónCruz AzulTolucaSantos Laguna

Elo Ratings — All Teams

Current Elo rating, peak Elo this season, and results. Start rating: 1500.

#	Team	Elo	Peak	Δ	GP	W	D	L
1	Guadalajara	1566	1566	+66	12	6	5	1
2	Club América	1556	1581	+56	11	7	2	2
3	León	1547	1552	+47	12	6	4	2
4	Cruz Azul	1537	1537	+37	12	6	2	4
5	Toluca	1529	1574	+29	12	5	5	2
6	Santos Laguna	1525	1541	+25	12	6	1	5
7	Querétaro	1525	1577	+25	12	6	2	4
8	Atlético San Luis	1524	1524	+24	12	5	3	4
9	Atlas	1508	1513	+8	12	5	3	4
10	Monterrey	1502	1520	+2	12	5	2	5
11	Tijuana	1499	1516	-1	11	3	5	3
12	Tigres UANL	1493	1508	-7	12	3	5	4
13	Pumas UNAM	1486	1519	-14	12	3	5	4
14	Atlante	1469	1519	-31	12	3	4	5
15	Pachuca	1468	1500	-32	13	3	4	6
16	Puebla	1465	1530	-35	12	3	4	5
17	Necaxa	1403	1513	-97	13	1	4	8
18	Juárez	1398	1500	-102	12	1	2	9

Elo Betting ROI

Backtested ROI using incremental Elo ratings — ratings computed from matches played before each bet.

Strategy	Bets	Wins	Win %	P&L	ROI
Elo Value (edge > 3%)	75	20	27%	+$25.00	+3.33%
Elo Favourite	88	30	34%	−$257.10	-29.22%
Elo Home Pick (>55%)	5	3	60%	−$6.40	-12.8%
Elo Draw (>28%)	33	9	27%	−$9.40	-2.85%

Staking Plan Comparison

Same Elo bets, different stake sizing. Flat = $10 every bet. Kelly ¼ and Confidence-weighted alternatives.

Strategy	Bets	Flat P&L	Flat ROI	Kelly ¼ P&L	Kelly ¼ ROI	Conf P&L	Conf ROI
Elo Value (edge > 3%)	75	+$25.00	+3.33%	+$11.06	+8.76%	+$13.08	+1.65%
Elo Favourite	88	−$257.10	-29.22%	−$39.13	-58.04%	−$237.11	-26.62%
Elo Home Pick (>55%)	5	−$6.40	-12.8%	$0.00	0%	−$6.47	-13.84%
Elo Draw (>28%)	33	−$9.40	-2.85%	−$18.32	-31.92%	+$7.04	+2.01%

Staking Methods

Flat Stake:: Fixed $10 on every qualifying bet regardless of odds or edge.
Kelly ¼:: Stake = bankroll × (edge / (odds−1)) / 4. Uses rolling win rate as probability estimate. Grows bankroll when winning, shrinks when losing.
Confidence-weighted:: Stake = (implied prob / rolling avg implied prob) × $10. Bets more on favorites, less on longshots. Uses your previous bets' average to calculate each stake — applicable in real time.

How Elo Ratings Work

Step 1 — Starting Rating:: Every team starts at 1500. Higher Elo means a stronger team.
Step 2 — Expected Score:: E(A) = 1 / (1 + 10^(R_B − R_A) / 400). If Arsenal is rated 1600 and Wolves is 1450, Arsenal's expected score is 0.71.
Step 3 — Update After Match:: R_new = R_old + K × (S − E), where S is the actual result (1 = win, 0.5 = draw, 0 = loss) and K=32 controls sensitivity.
Step 4 — Home Advantage:: Home team gets +65 Elo boost when calculating expected scores, reflecting the statistical home advantage in football.
Step 5 — Betting:: Convert Elo difference into win/draw/loss probabilities, compare against bookmaker odds, and bet when the model spots value.

Value Scanner

Upcoming Fixtures — Value Identified by Each Model Independently

Min EV threshold2%

Show models

1Value bets found

1Multi-model consensus

+8%Avg EV found

Consensus across 3 models · Odds: H 1.44 · D 4.33 · A 7.50

Home Win

60.9%

Mkt implied: 69.4%

EV -8.5%

Draw

17.8%

Mkt implied: 23.1%

EV -5.3%

Away Win

21.3%

Mkt implied: 13.3%

EV +8.0%

PPG: H 58% D 14% A 29%Dixon-Coles: H 73% D 18% A 9%Elo: H 53% D 21% A 26%

Liga MX Mexico Prediction Models

Flat Betting Model

Odds Range Filter

Market ROI Summary

Staking Plan Comparison

By Team Bets

PPG Model

Odds Range Filter

PPG / WPPG Betting ROI

Staking Plan Comparison

Recent Results — PPG Predictions vs Actual

Upcoming Fixtures — PPG Predictions

PPG Ratings — All Teams

PPG vs WPPG — Biggest Divergence

Worked Example — Tijuana vs Santos Laguna

Poisson / Correct Score

Select Match

Dixon-Coles Score Matrix — Club América vs Tijuana

Derived Markets

Correct Score — Top 12

Dixon-Coles vs Plain Poisson

Dixon-Coles Betting ROI

Staking Plan Comparison

Team Attack & Defense Strength

How Poisson Predictions Work

Elo Rating

Current Elo Ratings

Elo → Win Probability Table

Elo Rating History — Top 6

Elo Ratings — All Teams

Elo Betting ROI

Staking Plan Comparison

How Elo Ratings Work

Value Scanner

Upcoming Fixtures — Value Identified by Each Model Independently